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Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings

NBAFinished
Grizzlies
136:105Sun, Nov 01 08:00
Kings

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 6 · Generated Nov 01, 2026, 06:31
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Market verdicts

Version 6 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 01, 2026, 06:31

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Memphis and Sacramento posted net efficiencies of -15.7 and -8 respectively over their last 10 games, but both sets of figures include 8 games from the prior season. Memphis also won recent games 124-103 and 110-105, so the recent and longer-term signals conflict; Memphis -8.5 is neutral for now. The teams’ paces are 104.6 and 102.7, and the head-to-head average is 236.5 points per game, compared with a 229.5-point total. However, offensive performance and recent over/under results do not establish a consistent direction, so the total is also neutral for now.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 6Odds move rerunNov 01, 2026, 06:31Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 4Odds move rerunOct 31, 2026, 21:52View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Odds move rerunOct 31, 2026, 08:27View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Oct 31, 2026, 08:08View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

136 - 105

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadKings +8.5Loss
Total pointsOver 229.5Win

Review

Final score 136-105. point spread Kings +8.5 → loss; total points Over 229.5 → win.

Nov 01, 2026, 10:36