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Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers

NBAFinished
Jazz
90:112Sun, Nov 01 03:00
Blazers

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Oct 31, 2026, 11:35
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The pick and probability for all 2 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Odds move rerun · Generated Oct 31, 2026, 11:35

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Utah’s net efficiency over its last 10 games is -12, compared with -4.2 for Portland. Utah’s recent home results of 111-117 and 105-110 both stayed within the current 6.5-point receiving line, so the spread remains neutral. The head-to-head average of 255.4 total points supports the over, while recent lower-scoring games provide a counterweight. Each team’s last 10 games include 8 games from the prior season, so 231.5 total points also remains neutral.

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Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 6Odds move rerunNov 01, 2026, 02:29View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 01, 2026, 01:17View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Odds move rerunOct 31, 2026, 22:44View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunOct 31, 2026, 11:35Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 2Odds move rerunOct 31, 2026, 08:26View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Oct 31, 2026, 03:12View this version

    Direction unchanged