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Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls

NBAFinished
Celtics
125:111Sat, Oct 31 07:30
Bulls

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Oct 31, 2026, 05:39
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Oct 31, 2026, 05:39

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The Celtics’ net efficiency over their last 10 games is 8.1, compared with -11.8 for the Bulls, and the most recent meeting ended 134-99. However, 8 games in each sample came from the prior season, so a neutral assessment is retained for the home team giving 15 points. The head-to-head average total of 225.75 is below the 235.5 total, but the Bulls’ pace of 108.2 and 127.9 points allowed present an opposing signal, so there is no clear lean on the total points either.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Update (2h before)Oct 31, 2026, 05:39Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Oct 30, 2026, 07:39View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

125 - 111

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadBulls +15Win
Total pointsUnder 235.5Loss

Review

Final score 125-111. point spread Bulls +15 → win; total points Under 235.5 → loss.

Oct 31, 2026, 10:21