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Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets

NBAFinished
Wizards
95:79Sat, Oct 31 07:00
Hornets

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Oct 30, 2026, 11:30
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Odds move rerun · Generated Oct 30, 2026, 11:30

Data completeness 74%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The Charlotte Hornets had a net efficiency of 1 over their last 10 games, compared with -15.3 for the Washington Wizards, and the Hornets won all 5 head-to-head meetings. The spread direction therefore leans toward the away team +1.5 points. The total points line of 223.5 only slightly favors the under: the most recent head-to-head game finished 110-103, but the head-to-head average of 235 points and the Wizards' 129.5 points allowed per game provide clear counterevidence, and both efficiency samples include 8 games from a prior season.

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Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 6Odds move rerunOct 31, 2026, 06:13View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Oct 31, 2026, 05:08View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Odds move rerunOct 31, 2026, 00:30View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunOct 30, 2026, 11:30Current

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 2Odds move rerunOct 30, 2026, 07:30View this version

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Oct 30, 2026, 07:10View this version

    Direction unchanged