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Rennes vs Lille

Ligue 1· Round Regular Season - 10Scheduled
Rennes
Sun, Nov 0822:00Roazhon Park
Lille

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 22:22
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 22:22

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Rennes have averaged 2 goals and 0.4 goals conceded over their last 5 home matches, while Lille have averaged 0.6 goals and 2.07 expected goals conceded over their last 5 away matches, creating a modest lean toward Rennes -0.25 and the under 2.75. Lille's 1.2 actual goals conceded away is below their 2.07 expected goals conceded, creating a risk that their defensive results could mean-revert; the score lean is 1-0 and the goals band lean is 2-3, with less confidence in the distribution than in the direction.

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Analysis versions (1)
  1. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 22:22Current

    Direction unchanged