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IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

Allsvenskan· Round Regular Season - 28Scheduled
IF Brommapojkarna
Sun, Nov 0823:30Grimsta IP
Mjallby AIF

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 03:15
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 03:15

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

IF Brommapojkarna have averaged 1.4 goals over their last 10 matches, compared with 0.6 for Mjallby AIF, and the home side's 1.25 expected goals conceded over their last 5 home matches is lower than the away side's 2.13 over their last 5 away matches, giving the pick'em a slight lean toward the home team. Both teams have averaged 0.8 goals at the corresponding venues, so the 2.75 line leans toward the under, although the away team's defensive exposure on the road and finishing volatility for both sides limit the strength of the assessment.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 03:15Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 23:54View this version

    Direction unchanged