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Estoril vs Maritimo

Primeira Liga· Round Regular Season - 11Postponed
Estoril
Sun, Nov 0823:30Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Maritimo

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 23:58
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 23:58

Data completeness 71%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Over the last 5 home matches, Estoril have scored 0.6 goals and conceded 1.6 per game, which offers weak support for the home side's 0.25 handicap, so the handicap leans toward the away side taking +0.25. Maritimo have conceded 2.4 goals per game over their last 5 away matches, leaving the 2.5-goal total slightly inclined toward the over. Both teams have generated expected goals of only 1.01 and 0.97 per game over their last 10 matches, and actual goals conceded have exceeded expected goals conceded, limiting the strength of those directions.

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Analysis versions (1)
  1. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 23:58Current

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 090 minutes 0-0

This match is void (postponed or cancelled): no market counts towards any statistic and follows are cancelled.

Review

The match was postponed or cancelled; every market is void and excluded from statistics.

Nov 08, 2026, 06:36