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St. Truiden vs Zulte Waregem

Belgian Pro League· Round Regular Season - 11Scheduled
St. Truiden
Mon, Nov 0902:15Daio Wasabi Stayen
Zulte Waregem

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 07:53
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 07:53

Data completeness 70%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

St. Truiden has averaged 2.27 expected goals per game over its last 5 home matches, compared with Zulte Waregem’s 1.1 over its last 5 away matches. At the current St. Truiden -0.75 Asian handicap, the line leans slightly toward the home side, although St. Truiden has averaged only 1.2 actual goals per game, limiting confidence in the win. The total goals line of 3 leans slightly toward under, but St. Truiden has averaged 2.1 goals conceded per game over its last 10 matches and Zulte Waregem 1.6, while both teams have conceded more than their expected goals allowed, limiting the strength of the under assessment.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 07:53Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 08, 2026, 02:28View this version

    Direction unchanged