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Argentinos JRS vs Huracan

Liga Profesional Argentina· Round Clausura - 16Finished
Argentinos JRS
0:2Sun, Nov 08 04:30Diego Armando Maradona
Huracan

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 6 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 04:09
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Market verdicts

Version 6 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 04:09

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Argentinos JRS have averaged 1.67 expected goals and 1 expected goals conceded in their last 5 home matches, while Huracan have corresponding figures of 0.51 and 2.07 in their last 5 away matches. This provides clear support for the home side at +0.25. The total points line of 2 leans only slightly toward over, primarily because of the home team's home attacking output and the defensive pressure on the away side, although the away team's weak attack and the head-to-head average of 1.5 total goals provide clear constraints.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 6Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 04:09Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 5Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 03:54View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  3. Version 4Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 02:40View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 2Price updateNov 07, 2026, 15:46View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 04:41View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 290 minutes 0-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapArgentinos JRS -0.5Loss
Over / underUnder 2Push
Correct score1-0Miss
Total goals0-1Miss

Review

Final score 0-2. Asian handicap Argentinos JRS -0.5 → loss; over/under Under 2 → push; correct score 1-0 → miss; total goals 0-1 → miss.

Nov 08, 2026, 06:36