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Banfield vs Atletico Tucuman

Liga Profesional Argentina· Round Clausura - 16Finished
Banfield
2:2Sat, Nov 07 09:00Estadio Florencio Sola
Atletico Tucuman

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 08:39
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 08:39

Data completeness 95%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The home side has averaged 1 goal and 1.4 goals conceded per match over its last 5 home matches, while the away side has averaged 1 goal and 0.6 goals conceded per match over its last 5 away matches; the only previous meeting finished 1-1, with an average total of 2 goals. The Asian handicap is slightly tilted toward the away side, while the 2.25-goal over/under is slightly tilted toward the under; the score and goals-band lean toward 1-1 and 2-3.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 08:39Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 07:09View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 02:29View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 09:12View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

2 - 290 minutes 2-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapAtletico Tucuman 0Push
Over / underUnder 2.25Loss
Correct score0-1Miss
Total goals0-1Miss

Review

Final score 2-2. Asian handicap Atletico Tucuman 0 → push; over/under Under 2.25 → loss; correct score 0-1 → miss; total goals 0-1 → miss.

Nov 07, 2026, 11:06