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Rosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

Liga Profesional Argentina· Round Clausura - 16Finished
Rosario Central
2:0Sun, Nov 08 04:30Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underLean
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • 5 analysts: 1 agree · 4 cautious · 0 dissent
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 04:09
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 04:09

Data completeness 95%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underLean
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Rosario Central have averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game over their last 5 home matches, while Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded per game over their last 5 away matches. The home advantage is clear, but giving away two goals requires a large winning margin. The overall view leans toward Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto receiving two goals and the under, with 2-0 as the favored score and 2-3 total goals as the favored band, while retaining the attacking upside risk shown by the home side's recent 2-0 and 5-0 results.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 04:09Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 02:38View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 14:54View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 04:42View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

2 - 090 minutes 2-0

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto +2Push
Over / underUnder 3Win
Correct score1-0Miss
Total goals0-1Miss

Review

Final score 2-0. Asian handicap Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto +2 → push; over/under Under 3 → win; correct score 1-0 → miss; total goals 0-1 → miss.

Nov 08, 2026, 06:36