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Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina· Round Clausura - 16Finished
Gimnasia L.P.
2:1Fri, Nov 06 06:15Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
Belgrano Cordoba

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 04:28
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 04:28

Data completeness 81%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Gimnasia L.P. averaged 1.8 goals and 2.13 expected goals per game over its last 5 home matches, and recent results of 2-1, 2-0 and 2-1 make the Asian handicap lean slightly toward the home side. Belgrano Cordoba averaged 0.8 goals and conceded 0.4 per game over its last 5 away matches, making the 2.5-goal over/under lean slightly under, but its away expected goals of 1.67 and expected goals conceded of 1.28 were both above the actual figures, limiting the strength of the under judgment.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 06, 2026, 06:10View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 4Update (2h before)Nov 06, 2026, 04:28Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 03:00View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 05, 2026, 17:57View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 05, 2026, 06:26View this version

    Direction unchanged