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Roma vs Sassuolo

Serie A· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
Roma
3:0Sun, Nov 08 03:45Stadio Olimpico
Sassuolo

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 03:04
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 03:04

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Roma have averaged 3 goals per match over their last 5 home matches, while Sassuolo have averaged 2.4 goals conceded over their last 5 away matches, creating a slight lean toward Roma -1.5 and over 3.5. Roma have averaged 2.7 goals over their last 10 matches, above expected goals of 2.01, and Sassuolo have averaged 2.6 goals conceded, above expected goals conceded of 1.8; efficiency fluctuations limit the strength of the assessment. The single-score view leans toward 2-1, while the goals band leans toward 4+.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 03:25View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 03:04Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 01:54View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Price updateNov 07, 2026, 20:26View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 03:58View this version

    Direction unchanged