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Galatasaray vs Amed

Süper Lig· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
Galatasaray
4:3Sun, Nov 08 00:00Rams Park
Amed

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 23:40
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 23:40

Data completeness 90%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Galatasaray has averaged 1.8 goals and 1.2 goals conceded per match over its last 5 home games, while Amed has recorded 2.19 expected goals and 0.86 expected goals conceded over its last 10 matches, making the Asian handicap lean toward the away side receiving the handicap. The over/under has a slight under lean at 3.25, but Amed's away goals conceded per match of 1.75 are above its 0.94 expected goals conceded, and both teams have recently produced high scores, limiting the strength of the under assessment.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 23:40Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 22:17View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 00:12View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

4 - 390 minutes 4-3

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapAmed +1.25Half win
Over / underOver 3.25Win
Correct score2-2Miss
Total goals4+Hit

Review

Final score 4-3. Asian handicap Amed +1.25 → half win; over/under Over 3.25 → win; correct score 2-2 → miss; total goals 4+ → hit.

Nov 08, 2026, 02:06