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Samsunspor vs Konyaspor

Süper Lig· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
1:0Sat, Nov 07 21:00Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

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  • Asian handicapLean
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • 4 analysts: 1 agree · 3 cautious · 0 dissent
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 19:09
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 19:09

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapLean
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Samsunspor have scored 1 goal and conceded 3 per game over their last 5 home matches, while Konyaspor have conceded 1.3 goals per game over their last 10 matches. With the home team giving 0.25 goals, the preference is for the away side to receive the handicap. The 2.5-goal over/under line shows a slight lean toward over, but Konyaspor’s goals per game average is only 0.6, limiting the strength of that assessment.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 20:39View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 19:09Current

    Direction unchanged