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Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor

Süper Lig· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
Eyüpspor
0:2Sat, Nov 07 18:30Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
Kocaelispor

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 16:39
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 16:39

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Eyüpspor averaged 0.3 goals scored and 2.8 goals conceded per match over its last 10 matches, while Kocaelispor conceded 0.9 per match over the same period, giving the Asian handicap direction a lean toward the away team. Eyüpspor averaged 0.4 goals per match in its last 5 home games, and Kocaelispor averaged 1 goal per match in its last 5 away games, pointing to the under at an over/under line of 2.25. However, the sample of the home team's recent defensive collapse limits the strength of that judgment.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 18:23View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 16:39Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 16:12View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 18:40View this version

    Direction unchanged