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Ried vs Lask Linz

Austrian Bundesliga· Round Regular Season - 12Finished
Ried
2:4Sun, Nov 08 02:30Josko Arena
Lask Linz

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underLean
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • 4 analysts: 0 agree · 4 cautious · 0 dissent
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 08:33
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 08:33

Data completeness 76%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underLean
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Ried has averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match over its last 5 home matches, while Lask Linz has averaged 1.81 expected goals and 1.9 expected goals conceded per match over its last 5 away matches. The Asian handicap leans toward Ried +1.25. Lask Linz has averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match over its last 10 matches; combined with the teams’ recent high-scoring samples, this produces a slight lean toward the over at 3.25 total goals, although the lower goal concessions after splitting the data by venue limit the strength of the assessment.

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Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 6Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 02:10View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 00:45View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 00:01View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 20:46View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 08:33Current

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 02:39View this version

    Direction unchanged