Skip to content
Become a memberLog in

Austria Lustenau vs Grazer AK

Austrian Bundesliga· Round Regular Season - 12Finished
Austria Lustenau
2:1Sun, Nov 08 00:00Planet Pure Stadion
Grazer AK

Unlock the full analysis

Members see every analysis; you can also unlock this match with points, including all versions and the post-match review.

  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 22:21
You get
The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
For how long
Yours to read forever, including every version of this match and the post-match review
Not included
This match's article (10 points) and video (15 points) unlock separately
Log in to unlock · 38 ptsBecome a member

The preview shows the match header, base data and each analyst's summary. An unlock opens this match only and does not change your membership level.

Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 22:21

Data completeness 70%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Austria Lustenau have conceded 2.8 goals and 2.54 expected goals per game over their last 10 matches, while Grazer AK have conceded 3.4 goals and 2.48 expected goals per game in their last 5 away matches. The defensive risk supports a moderate lean toward over at 2.75, though both teams have limited attacking output. At the Asian handicap, the home team's home form and the away team's overall defensive data offset each other, resulting in a neutral assessment. The correct-score and total-goals-band views carry low-strength leans toward 1-1 and 2-3 goals, respectively.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 23:41View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 22:21Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 00:19View this version

    Direction unchanged