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FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys

Swiss Super League· Round Regular Season - 13Finished
FC Luzern
2:3Sun, Nov 08 01:00Stade de Suisse Wankdorf Bern
BSC Young Boys

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 15:38
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 15:38

Data completeness 70%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Young Boys average 2.8 goals scored and 2.1 expected goals over the last 10 matches, and 3.2 goals scored over the last 5 away matches; Luzern average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over the last 5 home matches, and their home resistance limits a clear edge for the away side at -0.75. Actual goals and expected metrics give different signals for the 4-goal line, so both the Asian handicap and over/under are provisionally neutral, correct score leans mildly to 1-2, and the goals band leans to 4+.

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Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 6Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 00:42View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 23:26View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 21:44View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 18:36View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 15:38Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 01:14View this version

    Direction unchanged