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ST Mirren vs Rangers

Scottish Premiership· Round Regular Season - 13Finished
ST Mirren
0:2Sun, Nov 08 04:00The SMiSA Stadium
Rangers

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 02:27
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 02:27

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

ST Mirren have averaged 1.4 goals and conceded 2 per match in their last 5 home games, while Rangers have averaged 1.6 goals and conceded 1 per match in their last 5 away games. Combined with Rangers’ two consecutive 2-2 draws and their narrow-margin head-to-head wins, this produces a slight lean toward ST Mirren +1.5. The over/under at 3.25 carries a slight lean toward the under, but Rangers’ recent 4-0 and 3-1 results and ST Mirren’s home defensive data provide clear counterevidence.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 03:38View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 02:27Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  3. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 02:09View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 00:25View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 04:09View this version

    Direction unchanged