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Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna

La Liga· Round Regular Season - 12Finished
Espanyol
0:0Sat, Nov 07 23:15RCDE Stadium
Deportivo

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 23:26
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 23:26

Data completeness 78%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Over the last 10 matches, Espanyol has 0.94 expected goals and 3.1 shots on target per match, compared with 1.29 and 4.8 for Deportivo La Coruna, favoring the away side when the home side gives a quarter-goal handicap. For over/under 2.5, the view leans only slightly toward the under: Espanyol's attacking output is limited, but Deportivo La Coruna has averaged 1.6 goals conceded per match and has a 0% clean-sheet rate over its last 5 away matches, limiting the strength of the under view.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 23:01View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 22:50View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  3. Version 2Price updateNov 07, 2026, 12:51View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 23:26Current

    Direction unchanged