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Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa

Süper Lig· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
Gaziantep FK
0:2Sat, Nov 07 01:00Gaziantep Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 00:39
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 00:39

Data completeness 95%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Gaziantep FK averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over its last 10 matches, versus 1.5 and 1.1 for Kasımpaşa, so the Asian handicap leans toward the visitors. Gaziantep FK scored only 0.6 per game over its last 5 home matches and Kasımpaşa's expected goals over its last 5 away matches are 0.89, so the over/under at 2.75 leans under, but Gaziantep FK's defensive record, recent high scorelines and the head-to-head record all form counter-evidence.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 00:39Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 06, 2026, 23:24View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 290 minutes 0-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapKasımpaşa 0Win
Over / underUnder 2.75Win
Correct score0-1Miss
Total goals0-1Miss

Review

Final score 0-2. Asian handicap Kasımpaşa 0 → win; over/under Under 2.75 → win; correct score 0-1 → miss; total goals 0-1 → miss.

Nov 07, 2026, 03:06