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Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus

UEFA Europa League· Round League Stage - 4Finished
0:0Wed, Nov 04 23:30Roazhon Park

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 03, 2026, 23:45
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 03, 2026, 23:45

Data completeness 78%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Rennes has averaged 2.6 goals and 2.12 expected goals per game in its last 5 home matches, while Olympiakos Piraeus has averaged 0.6 goals and 0.93 expected goals conceded per game in its last 5 away matches. The home attack and away defense constrain one another, producing a slight lean toward Olympiakos Piraeus when the home side gives 0.25. The total goals line of 2.75 carries a slight lean toward the under, but Rennes' recent high-scoring matches and both teams' actual goals conceded falling below their expected figures limit the strength of that view. The correct-score and total-goals-band views each carry a low-strength lean toward 1-1 and 2-3 goals, respectively.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 04, 2026, 23:24View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 3Price updateNov 04, 2026, 22:36View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 04, 2026, 21:44View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 03, 2026, 23:45Current

    Direction unchanged